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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.88+6.52vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.08+5.00vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+1.32vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.82+3.72vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.63+0.29vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-1.72vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.08-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.40-2.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.46vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.61-1.72vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-2.80vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame1.92-4.46vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.81-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.0Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.32Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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7.72Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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5.29Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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4.28Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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6.87University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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5.54SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.28Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.2Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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12.47Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan VerHulst | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 1.3% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 16.3% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Peirson | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 2.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| John Hanna | 17.6% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Thompson | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| James Mcavoy | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 18.7% | 4.6% |
| Conner Killham | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 3.2% |
| Christian Cyrul | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 1.7% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 7.0% | 83.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.