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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.32vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.40+4.04vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.88+4.60vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.92+2.25vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08+0.87vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.53vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.63-2.63vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.08-3.10vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.82-3.51vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.61-3.57vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.81-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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6.04University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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7.6Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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4.34Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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7.25University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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6.87Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.47SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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5.37Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.46Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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7.49Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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8.43Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.47Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hanna | 17.2% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 1.8% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 16.5% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 1.5% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 0.7% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Conner Killham | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 3.4% |
| Max Thompson | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Peirson | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| James Mcavoy | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 3.4% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 85.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.