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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.08+5.94vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.40+4.05vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.88+4.60vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.82+3.70vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-0.75vs Predicted
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6Hampton University3.02-1.72vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.92-0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.08-2.00vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.50vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.63-5.83vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.61-3.56vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.81-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.05University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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7.6Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.7Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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4.25Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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4.28Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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8.23Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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5.5SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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5.17Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.44Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.49Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Woodworth | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 0.9% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Peirson | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| John Hanna | 17.3% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 16.6% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 3.3% |
| Christian Cyrul | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 1.2% |
| Max Thompson | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 1.3% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| James Mcavoy | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 3.3% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 5.5% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.