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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.68vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.08+5.32vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.90vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.82+4.04vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.63+0.62vs Predicted
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6Hampton University3.02-1.35vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.08+0.19vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University3.43-4.31vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.40-2.53vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame1.92-2.30vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-2.49vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.61-3.27vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.81-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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5.9SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.04Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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5.62Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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4.65Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.19Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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3.69Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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8.51Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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8.73Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.52Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hanna | 13.9% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Peirson | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 2.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 20.4% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Christian Cyrul | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 1.8% |
| Conner Killham | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 3.4% |
| James Mcavoy | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 22.2% | 3.5% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.