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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+2.77vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.82+6.03vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+1.71vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+0.72vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.08+2.18vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.40+0.33vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.08-0.70vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.24vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame1.92-2.34vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.63-5.46vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.61-3.32vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.81-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.03Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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4.71Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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4.72Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.18Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.33University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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5.81SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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8.76Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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5.54Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.68Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.51Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 19.4% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Peirson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 2.3% |
| John Hanna | 12.1% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 13.9% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 0.9% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Max Thompson | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 0.7% |
| Conner Killham | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 22.8% | 3.6% |
| Christian Cyrul | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 2.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| James Mcavoy | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 3.9% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.