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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.90+0.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.01vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.06vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68University of Southern California0.9050.5%1st Place
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2.01University of California at Berkeley0.7432.7%1st Place
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3.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.269.2%1st Place
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3.25Arizona State University-0.397.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Morgana Manti | 50.5% | 34.0% | 12.4% | 3.1% |
Katherine Olsen | 32.7% | 39.8% | 20.8% | 6.7% |
Florence Duff | 9.2% | 14.4% | 37.8% | 38.6% |
Sadie Hoberman | 7.6% | 11.8% | 28.9% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.