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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+2.75vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+2.66vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+2.82vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.82+4.04vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.92+2.64vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.08+1.19vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.08+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.40-1.66vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-4.31vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.17vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-2.46vs Predicted
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12Miami University-0.81+0.51vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.61-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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4.66Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.82Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.04Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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7.19Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.34University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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4.69Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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5.83SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.54Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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12.51Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.79Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 21.0% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Peirson | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% |
| Christian Cyrul | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 1.8% |
| Max Thompson | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 1.4% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| John Hanna | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Conner Killham | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 3.9% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 7.0% | 84.2% |
| James Mcavoy | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 21.3% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.