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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.67vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.82+6.05vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University3.43+0.73vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.08+3.33vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.63+0.64vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.40+0.32vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.61+1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.92-0.35vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.11vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.39vs Predicted
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11Miami University-0.81+1.51vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.08-4.59vs Predicted
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13Hampton University3.02-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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8.05Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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3.73Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.33Florida State University2.080.0%1st Place
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5.64Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.32University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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8.42Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
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5.89SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.61Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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12.51Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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4.77Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hanna | 13.8% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Peirson | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 2.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 21.0% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 1.4% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| James Mcavoy | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 3.6% |
| Christian Cyrul | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 1.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Conner Killham | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 21.0% | 4.4% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 83.4% |
| Max Thompson | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.