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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+3.36vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+5.56vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.08+3.96vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.32vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.63+0.26vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.40-1.03vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.08-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame1.92-1.48vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.65vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.82-3.51vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.61-3.63vs Predicted
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13Miami University-0.81-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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7.56Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.32Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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5.26Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.46SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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5.97University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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6.91Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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8.35Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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7.49Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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8.37Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.45Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 16.7% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 1.9% |
| Max Thompson | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| John Hanna | 17.0% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 0.8% |
| Christian Cyrul | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 2.0% |
| Conner Killham | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 4.8% |
| Samuel Peirson | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 2.0% |
| James Mcavoy | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 3.3% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.