← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University3.02+3.35vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.88+5.58vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University2.08+3.97vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.52vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-0.78vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.63-0.63vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.82+0.57vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.40-2.05vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami2.08-1.95vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.66vs Predicted
-
11University of Notre Dame1.92-3.78vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University1.61-3.59vs Predicted
-
13Miami University-0.81-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.35Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
-
7.58Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
-
6.97Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
-
5.52SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
-
4.22Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
-
5.37Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
-
7.57Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
-
5.95University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.05University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
-
8.34Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
-
7.22University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
-
8.41Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
-
12.46Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 16.8% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 1.9% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 10.7% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| John Hanna | 17.2% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Peirson | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 1.9% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Max Thompson | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 1.2% |
| Conner Killham | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 4.6% |
| Christian Cyrul | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 1.6% |
| James Mcavoy | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 3.2% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.