← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.02vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.88+4.88vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University3.02+1.00vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University2.63+0.94vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.08+1.41vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.82+1.11vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University2.08-0.76vs Predicted
-
8Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.45vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University1.61-1.48vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.97vs Predicted
-
11Miami University-0.81+0.46vs Predicted
-
12University of Notre Dame1.92-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.02Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
-
6.88Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
-
4.0Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
-
4.94Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.41University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
-
7.11Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
-
6.24Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
-
7.55Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
-
7.52Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
-
5.03SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
-
11.46Miami University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
6.83University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hanna | 17.8% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 1.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 19.5% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Max Thompson | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Peirson | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 2.1% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Conner Killham | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 4.2% |
| James Mcavoy | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 3.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Kristin Schulze | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 84.8% |
| Christian Cyrul | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.