Race 1B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ethan Lounsbury 20.8% 18.0% 18.3% 11.4% 9.8% 8.0% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Magno 11.4% 11.6% 12.0% 12.1% 10.5% 10.5% 7.5% 8.1% 7.9% 4.8% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 3.9% 3.3% 5.9% 7.0% 7.5% 6.6% 8.5% 9.6% 11.8% 14.6% 16.1% 4.8% 0.4%
Filip Stevanovic 5.6% 5.8% 5.1% 6.6% 8.8% 9.1% 7.6% 11.2% 10.5% 13.6% 12.0% 4.0% 0.1%
Anna Huebschmann 9.5% 9.1% 9.6% 9.6% 8.9% 8.6% 11.2% 9.9% 8.8% 8.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 7.9% 8.0% 8.8% 8.1% 9.5% 8.4% 11.4% 10.0% 9.7% 8.3% 8.1% 1.8% 0.0%
Orrin Starr 12.4% 13.5% 9.9% 11.1% 11.5% 11.0% 6.5% 8.9% 6.7% 5.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 9.8% 11.3% 10.5% 11.3% 9.5% 10.5% 10.8% 8.6% 7.8% 5.4% 3.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Mary Berg 5.9% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 9.0% 8.5% 9.6% 9.2% 13.0% 9.9% 11.9% 3.7% 0.4%
Darby Reddaway 4.6% 4.5% 4.1% 4.7% 5.9% 6.7% 7.9% 8.0% 10.9% 14.2% 20.3% 7.2% 1.0%
Alexander Thompson 7.5% 8.1% 9.4% 10.1% 7.7% 10.8% 10.6% 11.1% 8.7% 7.9% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Kevan Pigott 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 3.4% 8.4% 50.8% 28.2%
Kathryn Powell 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 2.1% 3.1% 22.2% 69.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.