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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Filip Stevanovic 5.9% 4.4% 6.6% 7.3% 8.4% 7.9% 8.5% 10.8% 11.8% 12.2% 11.5% 4.3% 0.4%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.4% 4.6% 5.5% 5.9% 5.7% 8.3% 8.1% 10.6% 11.1% 12.3% 17.0% 5.9% 0.6%
Ethan Lounsbury 21.1% 19.8% 14.0% 13.0% 12.1% 7.3% 4.9% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Magno 11.1% 11.4% 12.0% 11.7% 11.1% 10.4% 7.9% 8.7% 8.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 10.7% 11.7% 11.2% 10.8% 8.7% 10.8% 10.4% 7.8% 7.2% 6.1% 3.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Alexander Thompson 7.3% 8.2% 9.7% 8.7% 8.8% 10.4% 10.0% 9.9% 8.6% 9.7% 6.7% 1.9% 0.1%
Darby Reddaway 5.2% 4.1% 4.6% 5.1% 7.4% 5.0% 6.8% 9.4% 10.2% 14.0% 20.6% 7.0% 0.6%
Anna Huebschmann 8.6% 9.7% 8.4% 9.6% 8.3% 10.4% 11.9% 10.4% 8.4% 8.5% 4.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Orrin Starr 11.8% 12.6% 10.7% 10.9% 11.7% 8.9% 9.9% 7.3% 6.7% 5.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Mary Berg 6.1% 6.2% 7.1% 7.9% 9.3% 8.9% 8.7% 8.5% 11.1% 11.6% 10.2% 4.2% 0.2%
Kevan Pigott 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 2.7% 4.1% 9.0% 53.6% 23.9%
Jennifer Killian 7.1% 6.6% 9.7% 8.1% 8.1% 10.1% 10.8% 10.3% 10.6% 8.7% 7.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Kathryn Powell 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 1.5% 3.3% 18.2% 73.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.