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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.08+6.10vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.90+5.62vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.44+0.61vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.82+1.11vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.69+0.32vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+0.15vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+0.88vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.82-3.88vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.16-3.19vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.27+0.56vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39-5.66vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-2.19-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.62SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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3.61Jacksonville University2.440.2%1st Place
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5.11University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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5.32Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.1%1st Place
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7.88Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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5.88Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.12University of South Florida1.820.1%1st Place
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6.81Tulane University1.160.1%1st Place
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11.56Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.34Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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12.49University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 21.1% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Darby Reddaway | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 7.0% | 0.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Orrin Starr | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mary Berg | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Kevan Pigott | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 53.6% | 23.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 18.2% | 73.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.