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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.50+4.72vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.44+1.49vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.08+3.80vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.69+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.82-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.82-1.17vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.16-0.50vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39-2.10vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-2.94vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.78vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.27+0.22vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-1.07vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-2.19-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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3.49Jacksonville University2.440.2%1st Place
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6.8Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.21Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.82University of South Florida1.820.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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6.5Tulane University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.9Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.06Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.1%1st Place
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7.22SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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11.22Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.93Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Huebschmann | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 22.7% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Orrin Starr | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Kevan Pigott | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 26.9% | 36.6% | 19.4% |
| David Sutton | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 27.4% | 35.7% | 14.7% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 8.9% | 20.1% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.