Race 4B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Filip Stevanovic 6.0% 5.0% 6.2% 8.6% 8.0% 9.3% 9.2% 12.9% 11.6% 13.9% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Alexander Thompson 7.3% 8.3% 9.7% 8.3% 9.8% 10.3% 11.9% 9.9% 11.2% 9.4% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Ethan Lounsbury 21.8% 19.4% 14.9% 13.3% 11.7% 7.2% 5.2% 3.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Magno 11.5% 12.5% 12.6% 10.9% 12.6% 10.6% 9.4% 8.5% 6.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Mary Berg 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 8.1% 10.3% 7.9% 10.4% 10.7% 11.3% 12.5% 6.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Orrin Starr 12.1% 12.9% 14.0% 11.4% 10.2% 10.3% 8.9% 8.6% 6.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 9.3% 7.2% 10.4% 8.7% 8.1% 10.9% 10.1% 11.2% 10.4% 9.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Nicholas Manfredi 3.7% 6.7% 5.0% 6.5% 6.0% 9.1% 9.6% 11.0% 13.8% 16.7% 10.0% 1.8% 0.1%
Jeffrey Hayden 11.2% 9.6% 10.3% 11.7% 11.3% 10.9% 9.6% 7.9% 9.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Anna Huebschmann 9.4% 9.6% 8.8% 11.6% 9.5% 9.9% 10.5% 10.7% 8.6% 7.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0%
David Sutton 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 2.9% 2.5% 5.5% 7.7% 32.3% 32.1% 12.0%
Kevan Pigott 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 1.6% 2.8% 6.3% 20.9% 38.9% 23.5%
Kathryn Powell 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 2.0% 9.2% 20.7% 63.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.