Race 5B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Filip Stevanovic 5.3% 5.2% 6.0% 8.3% 8.3% 8.6% 7.1% 10.1% 12.2% 11.9% 12.9% 3.9% 0.2%
Alexander Thompson 6.7% 8.2% 8.2% 9.7% 10.6% 8.3% 9.9% 9.7% 9.4% 10.3% 7.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Kyle Magno 10.3% 11.9% 13.1% 11.8% 10.2% 9.2% 11.2% 8.2% 5.3% 5.6% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Ethan Lounsbury 21.8% 18.8% 16.3% 11.1% 8.8% 9.8% 5.7% 4.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Orrin Starr 12.4% 12.5% 11.1% 11.5% 9.8% 9.8% 10.3% 8.4% 5.9% 5.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Anna Huebschmann 8.5% 9.4% 8.7% 10.0% 10.1% 10.6% 9.2% 9.4% 8.9% 7.8% 6.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 11.9% 9.9% 10.7% 9.9% 9.5% 10.3% 10.0% 8.1% 8.6% 6.4% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Darby Reddaway 3.3% 4.8% 5.1% 5.2% 5.5% 6.0% 7.1% 10.4% 11.3% 13.6% 19.4% 7.7% 0.6%
Jennifer Killian 7.4% 7.2% 8.0% 8.8% 9.2% 9.2% 10.8% 8.8% 10.3% 9.8% 8.1% 2.3% 0.1%
Mary Berg 6.8% 6.1% 6.2% 7.6% 9.3% 8.1% 8.9% 10.5% 10.7% 10.8% 11.8% 3.0% 0.2%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.9% 5.3% 6.0% 5.4% 7.5% 8.5% 8.2% 9.9% 11.7% 12.3% 14.8% 5.1% 0.4%
Kevan Pigott 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.8% 3.2% 8.2% 50.7% 28.0%
Kathryn Powell 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.7% 2.4% 22.6% 70.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.