← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College3.60+8.74vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.92+2.73vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.64+6.70vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University4.33+2.80vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.70+4.27vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.44vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.74+6.43vs Predicted
-
8Brown University4.30-1.29vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University4.71-3.62vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.42vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.29vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida3.74-2.62vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University3.30-1.75vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy4.09-6.37vs Predicted
-
15Washington College2.29-0.43vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania2.79-3.07vs Predicted
-
17University of Miami1.09+0.82vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-7.00vs Predicted
-
19Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-4.03vs Predicted
-
20Queen's University1.06-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.74SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
-
4.73Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
-
9.7College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
-
6.8Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
-
9.27Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
8.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
-
13.43University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
-
6.71Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
5.38Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
-
8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
9.38University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
-
11.25Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
-
7.63U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
-
14.57Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
12.93University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
-
17.82University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
-
11.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
-
14.97Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
-
17.96Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Scott | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 17.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Britton Steele | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 25.2% | 39.1% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Laura Stamets | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 6.3% |
| William Schwenger | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 22.4% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.