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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.08+6.11vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.69+3.50vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+3.29vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.50+1.96vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.44-1.46vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.82-0.92vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.82-2.99vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-0.98vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-3.76vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.16-4.28vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.27-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-2.19-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.5Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.29Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.96Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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3.54Jacksonville University2.440.2%1st Place
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5.08University of South Florida1.820.1%1st Place
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7.45SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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8.02Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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6.24Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.1%1st Place
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6.72Tulane University1.160.1%1st Place
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11.64Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 22.6% | 20.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Orrin Starr | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Magno | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Reddaway | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 8.0% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Thompson | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Berg | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Kevan Pigott | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 51.6% | 28.0% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 22.3% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.