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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Filip Stevanovic 5.4% 5.5% 5.6% 8.4% 7.1% 9.1% 8.6% 9.0% 12.6% 12.5% 11.4% 4.6% 0.2%
Jeffrey Hayden 10.2% 9.5% 11.2% 9.2% 11.2% 11.1% 9.8% 8.7% 7.9% 6.1% 4.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 5.8% 8.0% 9.2% 8.1% 9.7% 10.4% 10.5% 10.1% 10.7% 8.3% 7.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Anna Huebschmann 8.2% 8.4% 9.2% 10.5% 9.4% 9.5% 10.6% 9.0% 9.3% 9.4% 4.9% 1.5% 0.1%
Ethan Lounsbury 22.6% 20.2% 14.5% 12.7% 9.3% 7.6% 5.4% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Orrin Starr 11.3% 12.5% 11.2% 12.3% 10.8% 9.7% 9.6% 7.6% 5.8% 5.2% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 5.8% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 5.4% 6.5% 7.7% 9.9% 10.7% 14.2% 16.5% 4.9% 0.4%
Kyle Magno 11.7% 11.3% 13.4% 10.2% 11.8% 10.1% 9.8% 9.0% 4.9% 4.7% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Darby Reddaway 4.3% 5.4% 3.5% 4.2% 5.4% 6.8% 6.9% 9.5% 10.6% 14.4% 20.3% 8.0% 0.7%
Alexander Thompson 8.1% 7.6% 7.5% 9.6% 10.2% 8.1% 10.2% 10.4% 9.4% 9.3% 7.4% 2.1% 0.1%
Mary Berg 6.0% 5.8% 8.2% 7.1% 9.0% 9.4% 9.1% 10.5% 12.3% 10.4% 9.5% 2.4% 0.3%
Kevan Pigott 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 8.0% 51.6% 28.0%
Kathryn Powell 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 3.0% 22.3% 70.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.