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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.44+2.36vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.50+3.48vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.08+3.60vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.70-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.82-1.41vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.12vs Predicted
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8Tulane University0.26+0.44vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-3.93vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-4.32vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-0.30vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.27-0.75vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-2.19-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Jacksonville University2.440.2%1st Place
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5.48Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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6.6Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.95University of South Florida1.700.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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6.88SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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8.44Tulane University0.260.0%1st Place
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5.07Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.68Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.1%1st Place
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10.7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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11.25Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lounsbury | 24.3% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Smith | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 12.3% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| David Graf | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 23.4% | 18.8% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 29.8% | 30.1% | 11.9% |
| Kevan Pigott | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 19.9% | 37.1% | 23.6% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 8.3% | 20.6% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.