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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.44+2.38vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.08+4.53vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.82+1.71vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.50+1.49vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.26+3.35vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.69-1.07vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.70-3.09vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.94vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-4.28vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-0.30vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.27-0.73vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-2.19-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Jacksonville University2.440.2%1st Place
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6.53Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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5.49Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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8.35Tulane University0.260.0%1st Place
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4.93Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.69Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.91University of South Florida1.700.1%1st Place
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7.06SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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5.72Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.1%1st Place
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10.7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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11.27Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lounsbury | 22.7% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Magno | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 10.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Graf | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 21.8% | 17.6% | 7.2% | 0.6% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Smith | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Thompson | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 29.7% | 30.2% | 11.9% |
| Kevan Pigott | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 8.6% | 19.3% | 37.8% | 23.3% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 9.1% | 19.7% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.