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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.08+6.11vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+4.25vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.82+2.07vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.44-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.70+0.34vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.48vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.16-0.25vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39-1.84vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-3.50vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50-4.16vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-3.15vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.27-0.40vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-2.19-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.25Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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3.58Jacksonville University2.440.2%1st Place
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5.34University of South Florida1.700.1%1st Place
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7.48SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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6.75Tulane University1.160.1%1st Place
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6.16Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.5Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.84Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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7.85Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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11.6Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Thompson | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Magno | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 22.8% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Smith | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Mary Berg | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Darby Reddaway | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Kevan Pigott | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 52.1% | 27.8% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 22.0% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.