Race 10B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ethan Lounsbury 21.8% 17.8% 16.2% 13.1% 10.0% 8.0% 5.9% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Magno 11.1% 13.1% 11.5% 11.3% 11.1% 10.9% 8.2% 7.7% 6.0% 6.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Alexander Thompson 6.8% 7.8% 9.4% 9.3% 8.8% 10.9% 8.9% 9.7% 10.3% 9.5% 6.2% 2.3% 0.1%
Jeffrey Hayden 10.8% 10.0% 10.3% 12.1% 10.2% 10.4% 9.7% 7.5% 8.0% 6.3% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Anna Huebschmann 9.8% 8.9% 9.5% 9.6% 10.0% 8.4% 9.9% 10.7% 8.5% 7.1% 6.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Filip Stevanovic 6.3% 5.1% 7.8% 6.8% 7.6% 9.2% 8.0% 11.6% 10.5% 11.6% 11.3% 4.0% 0.2%
Cameron Smith 11.5% 11.3% 10.6% 8.8% 12.4% 10.2% 9.7% 8.1% 7.5% 5.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.8% 6.2% 4.7% 6.6% 6.1% 6.9% 8.0% 10.5% 11.1% 14.4% 15.8% 4.5% 0.4%
Mary Berg 5.3% 6.4% 6.5% 8.2% 8.6% 6.8% 11.4% 9.1% 10.4% 10.8% 13.1% 2.8% 0.6%
Darby Reddaway 4.8% 4.1% 4.6% 4.9% 5.9% 7.1% 7.9% 8.8% 10.5% 12.8% 19.9% 7.4% 1.3%
Kevan Pigott 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 4.4% 7.2% 55.2% 23.6%
Kathryn Powell 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 3.3% 18.9% 73.4%
Jennifer Killian 6.3% 8.3% 8.5% 8.4% 8.5% 10.0% 10.2% 10.1% 11.7% 9.7% 6.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.