Race 11B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kyle Magno 11.2% 12.5% 12.4% 10.3% 12.0% 9.0% 10.3% 7.3% 7.0% 4.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Jeffrey Hayden 10.5% 11.0% 9.4% 10.7% 12.3% 10.9% 9.0% 7.9% 7.6% 5.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Alexander Thompson 6.1% 7.6% 9.9% 9.4% 8.9% 9.9% 9.3% 11.2% 10.9% 7.2% 7.8% 1.7% 0.1%
Anna Huebschmann 9.2% 7.9% 8.2% 11.8% 8.5% 9.7% 10.8% 9.2% 9.3% 7.6% 6.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Cameron Smith 11.5% 11.9% 11.3% 10.6% 9.8% 8.8% 9.9% 8.7% 7.2% 6.4% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Filip Stevanovic 5.9% 6.7% 6.2% 6.1% 8.4% 7.8% 9.2% 11.0% 11.7% 11.5% 11.8% 3.3% 0.4%
Ethan Lounsbury 22.3% 19.4% 16.2% 12.0% 8.6% 9.1% 5.3% 3.8% 1.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Berg 6.2% 7.4% 7.0% 6.5% 7.9% 8.6% 9.8% 11.1% 10.8% 11.4% 10.4% 2.7% 0.2%
Jennifer Killian 8.1% 7.1% 8.6% 8.0% 9.5% 10.4% 10.8% 8.9% 8.2% 10.4% 7.7% 2.1% 0.2%
Kathryn Powell 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.4% 1.3% 2.1% 3.9% 19.7% 70.3%
Darby Reddaway 3.7% 3.8% 5.5% 6.8% 5.5% 7.1% 6.9% 9.1% 12.3% 14.3% 17.3% 7.1% 0.6%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.5% 4.3% 4.7% 6.2% 7.5% 6.9% 7.4% 9.8% 10.1% 15.1% 17.1% 5.8% 0.6%
Kevan Pigott 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 7.3% 54.3% 27.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.