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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Magno 12.5% 12.6% 13.1% 12.4% 12.2% 11.5% 9.5% 7.1% 5.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Alexander Thompson 7.2% 9.8% 10.7% 9.0% 10.5% 10.9% 12.6% 9.6% 10.4% 7.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Ethan Lounsbury 26.2% 18.9% 15.3% 12.8% 11.2% 7.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 5.4% 6.4% 7.3% 8.3% 9.0% 9.7% 11.0% 11.7% 13.5% 13.2% 4.3% 0.2%
Nicholas Manfredi 5.3% 5.3% 5.9% 8.3% 7.2% 9.9% 9.1% 12.7% 13.0% 16.7% 5.9% 0.7%
Anna Huebschmann 9.9% 9.7% 8.9% 11.8% 10.8% 10.9% 11.6% 10.6% 8.0% 6.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Darby Reddaway 4.4% 5.4% 5.8% 6.3% 8.7% 6.6% 7.8% 11.2% 16.4% 19.1% 7.4% 0.9%
Jennifer Killian 9.3% 9.8% 10.9% 10.2% 7.6% 10.4% 11.8% 10.9% 9.5% 7.6% 2.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 11.5% 13.2% 13.6% 12.0% 11.1% 12.2% 9.4% 7.1% 5.7% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Mary Berg 7.1% 7.8% 7.5% 8.0% 10.5% 9.1% 11.7% 12.7% 11.2% 11.5% 2.7% 0.2%
Kevan Pigott 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 2.5% 3.9% 7.3% 53.2% 27.2%
Kathryn Powell 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.7% 3.0% 20.8% 70.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.