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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.82+3.66vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+3.66vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.44+0.26vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08+2.50vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.85vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.50-0.60vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+0.16vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39-2.44vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-4.28vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.16-3.84vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.27-0.36vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-2.19-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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5.66Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.1%1st Place
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3.26Jacksonville University2.440.3%1st Place
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6.5Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.85SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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5.4Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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7.16Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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5.56Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.72Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.16Tulane University1.160.1%1st Place
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10.64Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Magno | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 26.2% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Darby Reddaway | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Kevan Pigott | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 53.2% | 27.2% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 20.8% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.