← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+5.13vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+3.52vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+0.16vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles0.52+6.22vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.47vs Predicted
-
6Santa Clara University0.21+5.77vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.94vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.43+2.68vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands0.15+2.83vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands-1.21+8.73vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego0.31+0.31vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68+4.48vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.10vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.54+1.62vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+2.15vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-1.04vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-0.29-2.64vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis-0.19-4.23vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-4.54vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis0.13-7.76vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-3.76vs Predicted
-
22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-4.81vs Predicted
-
23California State University Channel Islands0.15-11.17vs Predicted
-
24California State University Channel Islands-1.21-5.27vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Irvine-1.02-7.08vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Davis-1.64-5.63vs Predicted
-
27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
-
5.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.16California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.3%1st Place
-
10.22University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
6.47University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
-
11.77Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
-
6.06University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
-
10.68University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
11.83California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
18.73California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
11.31University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
16.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
-
11.9University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
-
15.62University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
-
17.15University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
14.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
-
14.36San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
13.77University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
-
14.46University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
-
12.24University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
-
17.24University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
17.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.0%1st Place
-
11.83California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
18.73California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
17.92University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
20.37University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
-
19.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hood | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 27.1% | 21.6% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Bonafede | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 25.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.