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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+2.78vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+4.64vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.47+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+4.41vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.81-0.42vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University-1.38+7.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.99+4.88vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-2.10+8.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.84+1.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+2.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-2.57vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+0.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51-3.64vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-1.32-0.98vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.86-3.95vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.98vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.84-1.68vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.09-5.96vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83-3.84vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.19-7.41vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.98-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.6220.3%1st Place
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6.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.358.2%1st Place
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3.91San Diego State University1.4718.6%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Santa Cruz1.4518.1%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.273.1%1st Place
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5.58California Poly Maritime Academy0.8110.4%1st Place
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14.34Santa Clara University-1.381.1%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Berkeley-0.991.8%1st Place
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17.1California State University Monterey Bay-2.100.7%1st Place
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11.75University of California at Berkeley-0.841.7%1st Place
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13.77University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Santa Cruz-0.293.4%1st Place
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13.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.1%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Santa Barbara-0.511.8%1st Place
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14.02California State University Monterey Bay-1.321.1%1st Place
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12.05San Diego State University-0.861.4%1st Place
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15.02University of California at San Diego-2.050.8%1st Place
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16.32University of California at Davis-1.840.9%1st Place
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13.04Arizona State University-1.091.8%1st Place
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16.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.830.7%1st Place
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13.59San Diego State University-1.191.7%1st Place
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16.74University of California at Davis-1.980.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 20.3% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 18.6% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 18.1% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicolai Perez | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Philip Yang | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 22.4% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Liam Williams | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.2% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Paul Munsell | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Stephanie Ng | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.