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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.52vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.88vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.51vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+5.58vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.29+9.67vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.74+3.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.88vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.09-0.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.92-4.30vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.79+2.03vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.40vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20+2.29vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.30-3.07vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.09+2.70vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.33-9.24vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.60-7.41vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.74-4.68vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-8.15vs Predicted
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20Queen's University1.06-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.88Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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5.51Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.58College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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14.67Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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4.7Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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15.29Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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17.7University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
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6.76Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.59SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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13.32University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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17.95Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 4.6% |
| Britton Steele | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 16.5% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Stamets | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 8.7% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 23.0% | 41.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Mumma | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| William Schwenger | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 25.9% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.