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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.85vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.31+9.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+2.58vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-1.21+14.73vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.38vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-2.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.19+5.12vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42+11.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52+1.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.43-3.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.19+2.85vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.13+0.39vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University0.21-1.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.43-3.35vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.29-1.12vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.00vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.92vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.54-2.46vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.72vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-4.68vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-3.15vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-4.76vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-1.21-4.27vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands0.15-11.92vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-10.08vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-1.64-5.61vs Predicted
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27University of California at Irvine-1.02-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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11.17University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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18.73California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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3.12California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.3%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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19.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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13.85University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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11.77Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.65University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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13.88San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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16.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.08California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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15.54University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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16.28University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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17.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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17.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.0%1st Place
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18.73California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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12.08California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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14.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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20.39University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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17.69University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 11.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 25.3% | 23.4% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Bonafede | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 26.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.