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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.02vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.13+8.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+4.24vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.29+7.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19+3.89vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.31+1.39vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.04vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+5.72vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42+6.61vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.21+4.75vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68+0.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-1.23vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.19-3.17vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego0.43-7.30vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University0.21-7.81vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-3.07vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-5.46vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.54-6.77vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands0.15-10.96vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-6.53vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-1.21-6.25vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine-1.02-8.24vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis-1.64-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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3.14California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.3%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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14.51San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.89University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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6.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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11.39University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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12.04California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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17.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.0%1st Place
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19.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
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18.75California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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15.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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14.77University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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13.83University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.7University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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11.19Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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16.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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15.23University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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12.04California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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17.47University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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18.75California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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17.76University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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20.31University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finestone | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 27.7% | 21.5% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Bonafede | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 25.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.