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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.15+10.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.06vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+3.41vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.13+6.22vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-1.21+11.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.43+1.47vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University0.21+1.88vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.43-4.61vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68+4.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.54+2.67vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42+5.63vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-0.13vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-1.28vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.31-5.73vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley0.19-6.11vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.75vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.29-5.62vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-3.11vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.19-8.55vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-5.51vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-1.64-3.64vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands0.15-13.31vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine-1.02-8.31vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands-1.21-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.69California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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6.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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3.13California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.3%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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18.97California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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10.47University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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11.88Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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16.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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15.67University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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19.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
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14.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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14.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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11.89University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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16.25University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.38San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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17.89University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.45University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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17.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.0%1st Place
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20.36University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.69California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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17.69University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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18.97California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Clements | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 28.2% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 10.7% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Bonafede | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 25.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.