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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+3.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+7.28vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.40vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.21+6.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.31+5.30vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.90vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+9.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.43+1.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+6.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.54+4.51vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.12vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.43-7.61vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.21+3.34vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-1.18vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-0.70vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.29-3.69vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-2.12vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands0.15-7.73vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42-1.30vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-6.42vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis0.13-11.22vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-0.19-10.35vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-1.02-7.19vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-1.64-5.68vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands-1.21-8.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.3%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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6.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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11.86Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.3University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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17.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.41University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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16.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.51University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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12.27California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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18.34California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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14.82University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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16.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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14.31San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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16.88University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.27California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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19.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
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15.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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13.65University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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17.81University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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20.32University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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18.34California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes McElvain | 29.7% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Bonafede | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 26.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.