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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+2.06vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+1.87vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19+8.23vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.15+5.47vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.31+3.56vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19+3.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.43+1.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.13+1.62vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.43-6.74vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University0.21-2.60vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.62-0.17vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.29-2.10vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.21+0.52vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.19-4.69vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.81vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-5.96vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.21-3.48vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.64-2.94vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-6.50vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.02-7.03vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.3%1st Place
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6.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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5.87University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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13.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.47California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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11.59University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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10.26University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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11.62University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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11.47California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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11.4Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.83University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.9San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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17.52California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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16.19University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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17.52California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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19.06University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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16.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.0%1st Place
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16.97University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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16.63University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes McElvain | 28.1% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Belle Lemoine | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 31.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Bonafede | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.