← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+2.04vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.53+3.97vs Predicted
-
3San Diego State University-0.29+10.73vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego0.31+6.80vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.19vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-0.75vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Davis0.13+4.44vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands0.15+3.77vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.86vs Predicted
-
10Santa Clara University0.21+1.17vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles1.43-4.52vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley0.19-0.56vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego0.43-2.67vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-1.10vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-0.19-1.55vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+0.45vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-0.62-1.74vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-3.42vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.42vs Predicted
-
20California State University Channel Islands-1.21-2.45vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-4.48vs Predicted
-
22California State University Channel Islands-1.21-4.45vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Davis-1.64-3.87vs Predicted
-
24California State University Channel Islands0.15-12.23vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-8.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.04California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.3%1st Place
-
5.97University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
-
13.73San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
10.8University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
6.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
-
5.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
-
11.44University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
-
11.77California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
9.86University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
11.17Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
-
6.48University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
-
11.44University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
-
10.33University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
12.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
-
13.45University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
-
16.45University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
15.26University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
-
14.58University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
-
16.58University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
17.55California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
16.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.0%1st Place
-
17.55California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
19.13University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
-
11.77California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
16.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes McElvain | 28.5% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 8.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newt Cutcliffe | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Belle Lemoine | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Bonafede | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 33.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.