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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University-0.29+13.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+10.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+2.77vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.72vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.43+4.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.31+3.77vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University0.21+2.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+5.72vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.15+1.70vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.19+0.59vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19+1.44vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.19+0.32vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.13-2.76vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.62+0.26vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-3.12vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.52-7.41vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley1.53-13.08vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.64+0.98vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-2.58vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-4.26vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-1.02-4.70vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-1.21-4.88vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands0.15-12.30vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands-1.21-6.88vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-9.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.38San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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3.19California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.3%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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11.35University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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11.77University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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11.99Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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12.7California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.59University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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14.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.32University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.24University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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16.26University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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20.98University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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18.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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17.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.0%1st Place
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18.3University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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19.12California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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12.7California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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19.12California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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17.26University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newt Cutcliffe | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 26.5% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Belle Lemoine | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 31.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Bonafede | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.