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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+3.85vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+5.28vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+5.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.11+9.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.39+3.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.27+3.45vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-0.85+7.59vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.72-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.09-3.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.09+1.18vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+3.28vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-2.30vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-0.90vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.00-3.22vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10+0.64vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.57-12.31vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University0.47-8.92vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-0.85-3.41vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.58-1.52vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-4.83vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-1.15-4.94vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-0.91-7.04vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.40-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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7.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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8.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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13.56University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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10.81University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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11.45University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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16.59California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.28University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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16.28University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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14.1University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.78San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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17.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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10.08Santa Clara University0.470.1%1st Place
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16.59California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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19.48University of California at Davis-1.580.0%1st Place
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17.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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18.06University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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16.96University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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19.12University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rohr | 16.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Schloth | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradyn O'Connor | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.