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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90-0.29vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.03vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of California at Berkeley0.7432.8%1st Place
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1.71University of Southern California0.9049.5%1st Place
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3.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2610.1%1st Place
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3.24Arizona State University-0.397.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 32.8% | 39.2% | 20.8% | 7.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 49.5% | 33.1% | 14.8% | 2.6% |
| Florence Duff | 10.1% | 15.6% | 36.1% | 38.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 7.7% | 12.1% | 28.3% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.