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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.81vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.89vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+5.49vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.64vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.74+4.06vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29+8.83vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.60+3.03vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-2.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+1.86vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.30+0.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.09-3.18vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.74+1.33vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-3.44vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.64-4.48vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-5.49vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.09+1.76vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-2.06vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.79-4.95vs Predicted
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19Queen's University1.06-1.17vs Predicted
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20Georgetown University4.33-13.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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6.89Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.06University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
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14.83Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.03SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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5.32Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.9Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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13.33University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.52College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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17.76University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
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14.94Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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13.05University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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17.83Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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6.86Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 16.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Britton Steele | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 6.1% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Clark Hayes | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 25.0% | 40.9% |
| Laura Stamets | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 7.4% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| William Schwenger | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 25.9% | 39.4% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.