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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+3.82vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+6.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+6.36vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.47vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.09+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+8.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.27+2.09vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+1.88vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.57-5.26vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.85+4.77vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University0.47-2.41vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-0.91vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.39-4.03vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.11-2.61vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-0.09vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.00-5.14vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-5.38vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.15-2.25vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.58-1.12vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10-4.20vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-0.85-6.23vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-0.91-7.06vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.40-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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8.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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7.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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9.91University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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16.02University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.09University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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11.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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16.77California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.59Santa Clara University0.470.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.97University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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13.39University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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16.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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12.86San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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13.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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17.75University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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19.88University of California at Davis-1.580.0%1st Place
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17.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
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16.77California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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16.94University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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19.19University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rohr | 16.2% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Schloth | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradyn O'Connor | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.