← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+3.80vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+5.28vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+5.29vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.09+3.81vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.12vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+10.05vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.28vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.11+5.40vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands-0.85+7.58vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine0.27+1.41vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego0.39-0.06vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-0.09+1.12vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-1.15+5.35vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles0.61-4.38vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University-0.00-2.05vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-4.19vs Predicted
-
17Santa Clara University0.47-6.67vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Barbara0.72-8.72vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-5.36vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10-2.37vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-3.88vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-1.40-2.94vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Davis-0.91-6.06vs Predicted
-
24California State University Channel Islands-0.85-7.42vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Davis-1.58-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.8California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.2%1st Place
-
7.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
8.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
-
7.81University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
-
8.12University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
-
16.05University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
-
5.72University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
-
13.4University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
-
16.58California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
-
10.94University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
13.12University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
-
18.35University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.62University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
12.95San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
11.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.33Santa Clara University0.470.1%1st Place
-
9.28University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
-
13.64University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
-
17.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
-
17.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
-
19.06University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
-
16.94University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
-
16.58California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
-
19.77University of California at Davis-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rohr | 16.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Schloth | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Bradyn O'Connor | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.