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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+7.29vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+6.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+6.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+12.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.09+2.47vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89+11.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.33vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.24+3.88vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University0.47-0.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.11+1.22vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.00-0.08vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10+3.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.15+3.23vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.85+0.92vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine0.27-5.73vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.91-0.91vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-0.85-2.08vs Predicted
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20California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-15.26vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.40-2.18vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-8.68vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego0.39-12.24vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-1.58-4.48vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-13.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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8.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.0%1st Place
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16.13University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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17.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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7.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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9.46University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.56Santa Clara University0.470.1%1st Place
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13.22University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.92San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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17.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
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18.23University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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16.92California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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17.09University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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16.92California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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18.82University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
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13.32University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.76University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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19.52University of California at Davis-1.580.0%1st Place
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11.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Schloth | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 17.4% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradyn O'Connor | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.