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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.61+7.32vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+6.04vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.47+5.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.09+2.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.57-0.52vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-0.85+8.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.80-0.54vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-2.19vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-4.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine0.27-1.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-0.56vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.00-1.64vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+0.23vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.91-0.22vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-0.96vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.40-0.32vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-6.05vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.58-1.71vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-0.85-5.64vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.15-5.33vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.11-10.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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9.95Santa Clara University0.470.0%1st Place
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7.37University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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5.48University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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15.36California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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8.46University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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7.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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6.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.36San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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15.23University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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15.78University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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16.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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17.68University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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18.29University of California at Davis-1.580.0%1st Place
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15.36California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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16.67University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rohr | 16.7% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Schloth | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 8.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradyn O'Connor | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 29.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.