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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+6.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.09+5.76vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+5.45vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.27+6.44vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.17vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University0.47+2.68vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.00+3.67vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+1.70vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.85+6.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+4.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.80-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.91+3.14vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.61-4.93vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-2.59vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-3.04vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara0.72-8.55vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.40-0.17vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-3.06vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.58-1.00vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-0.85-4.98vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-1.15-4.76vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.80-7.33vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-0.11-11.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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8.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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5.06California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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11.44University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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10.68Santa Clara University0.470.0%1st Place
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12.67San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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11.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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17.02California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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16.11University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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17.14University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.96University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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18.83University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
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16.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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20.0University of California at Davis-1.580.0%1st Place
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17.02California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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18.24University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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16.67University of California at Santa Cruz-0.800.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyson Crowley | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 13.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Schloth | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Bradyn O'Connor | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Steward | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Lange | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.