Race 1A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Frederick Martens 53.7% 27.5% 12.0% 5.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Cooper 3.5% 5.8% 8.2% 9.0% 10.4% 11.8% 13.9% 14.5% 14.2% 6.7% 2.0%
Robert Gruskos 8.6% 13.6% 16.9% 15.8% 13.1% 11.7% 10.9% 5.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Jack Gonzales 8.3% 13.9% 15.4% 16.8% 13.5% 12.2% 10.3% 5.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Vincent Miao 8.6% 13.8% 12.5% 14.4% 13.9% 13.4% 10.9% 7.4% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Andrew Hopkins 1.2% 2.3% 3.5% 3.5% 4.6% 7.3% 7.1% 13.3% 19.4% 23.3% 14.5%
Alex Jones 5.6% 6.4% 10.6% 10.3% 13.4% 13.6% 12.3% 12.1% 9.6% 4.3% 1.8%
Lucas Holde 0.8% 1.2% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.2% 11.2% 14.9% 27.4% 29.8%
Allison Chenard 6.2% 7.6% 10.6% 12.9% 14.2% 12.1% 12.9% 12.3% 7.4% 2.6% 1.2%
Joshua Kim 3.0% 6.9% 7.3% 8.0% 10.8% 11.2% 13.9% 12.3% 14.4% 10.1% 2.1%
Simon Elliott 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 6.0% 10.7% 22.5% 47.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.