Race 2A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Frederick Martens 54.8% 27.5% 10.8% 4.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Cooper 3.3% 6.1% 8.0% 8.6% 10.4% 13.3% 14.2% 13.1% 13.5% 7.8% 1.7%
Jack Gonzales 8.8% 13.0% 14.5% 17.2% 13.4% 13.7% 9.6% 6.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Robert Gruskos 8.3% 13.4% 16.4% 16.1% 15.7% 10.4% 10.0% 5.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Vincent Miao 8.4% 13.4% 12.5% 14.6% 14.9% 12.3% 11.3% 6.5% 4.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Joshua Kim 2.8% 4.5% 7.5% 8.2% 10.0% 10.7% 13.0% 16.3% 13.4% 9.9% 3.7%
Lucas Holde 0.8% 2.3% 2.8% 2.4% 2.5% 3.0% 4.8% 10.3% 14.0% 27.2% 29.9%
Alex Jones 4.5% 6.2% 10.7% 10.8% 12.9% 12.7% 13.2% 12.6% 11.3% 4.4% 0.7%
Andrew Hopkins 1.5% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 4.8% 6.1% 8.5% 12.7% 19.5% 23.4% 13.9%
Allison Chenard 6.2% 9.6% 12.6% 12.7% 11.6% 13.9% 12.5% 10.0% 7.5% 2.8% 0.6%
Simon Elliott 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 2.5% 3.3% 2.8% 6.3% 10.8% 21.4% 49.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.