Race 3A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Frederick Martens 53.9% 27.4% 11.6% 5.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Gonzales 8.7% 15.4% 17.0% 16.9% 12.8% 11.8% 7.8% 6.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Allison Chenard 5.7% 8.2% 10.2% 12.4% 11.4% 14.1% 12.6% 12.6% 9.3% 3.3% 0.2%
Robert Gruskos 8.6% 13.3% 16.0% 16.5% 15.1% 12.5% 8.8% 5.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Vincent Miao 8.6% 14.2% 12.6% 14.7% 13.9% 12.0% 10.8% 7.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.1%
Carter Cooper 3.1% 5.6% 8.4% 8.4% 11.8% 11.6% 13.6% 14.4% 13.5% 7.4% 2.2%
Alex Jones 5.6% 6.3% 11.4% 9.6% 13.3% 12.6% 13.7% 12.3% 9.1% 5.0% 1.1%
Andrew Hopkins 1.5% 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 5.2% 7.7% 10.6% 11.8% 19.5% 21.2% 13.2%
Joshua Kim 3.1% 5.1% 6.6% 7.9% 10.5% 10.5% 13.0% 15.5% 14.5% 9.1% 4.2%
Lucas Holde 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 3.4% 2.7% 4.0% 4.8% 9.2% 14.4% 27.2% 31.0%
Simon Elliott 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 3.0% 4.1% 5.1% 10.5% 23.2% 47.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.