Race 5A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Frederick Martens 52.9% 26.9% 13.5% 4.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Miao 8.3% 12.1% 14.7% 15.9% 15.3% 11.7% 10.4% 6.5% 4.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Alex Jones 4.6% 5.7% 8.1% 9.2% 13.2% 13.4% 13.5% 13.5% 12.6% 5.0% 1.2%
Joshua Kim 3.0% 5.0% 5.1% 8.5% 8.2% 10.9% 15.2% 16.3% 14.0% 10.5% 3.3%
Robert Gruskos 10.3% 15.1% 16.1% 15.4% 13.7% 11.2% 8.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Allison Chenard 4.6% 9.2% 11.4% 13.0% 12.5% 15.1% 12.0% 10.3% 7.2% 4.2% 0.5%
Andrew Hopkins 1.6% 3.7% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.8% 10.1% 12.9% 19.6% 21.3% 12.0%
Jack Gonzales 9.2% 15.7% 17.4% 16.3% 13.2% 11.4% 7.5% 5.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Carter Cooper 4.1% 5.0% 7.8% 9.2% 11.3% 12.0% 13.6% 14.1% 12.1% 7.5% 3.3%
Lucas Holde 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 3.8% 3.7% 5.5% 9.1% 13.0% 29.1% 29.9%
Simon Elliott 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 3.3% 3.4% 6.1% 11.1% 20.3% 49.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.