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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Abbie Probst 7.8% 16.0% 21.4% 22.1% 15.7% 10.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 18.1% 27.8% 23.5% 15.5% 9.4% 4.2% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly-Ann Arrindell 56.3% 28.6% 11.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Leigh Collier 5.5% 9.3% 13.8% 20.3% 19.2% 16.0% 9.3% 4.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Taylor Wood 1.1% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 6.0% 7.9% 12.4% 18.7% 18.9% 16.5% 10.7%
Alex Marshall 3.3% 5.9% 10.4% 11.1% 17.5% 19.8% 14.3% 9.4% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6%
Jared Gaynes 5.0% 7.5% 9.9% 14.1% 17.4% 19.4% 14.0% 7.4% 4.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Shawn Majzlik 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 2.8% 4.1% 8.9% 12.9% 17.5% 21.7% 27.6%
Benjamin Tonks 1.0% 1.4% 3.2% 4.6% 5.7% 7.9% 16.5% 18.1% 18.8% 15.0% 7.8%
Derek Doss 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 4.1% 7.7% 11.7% 13.8% 21.4% 35.2%
Jackson Shortridge 0.7% 0.6% 1.5% 2.6% 3.1% 6.2% 10.5% 15.3% 19.6% 22.1% 17.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.