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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kelly-Ann Arrindell 56.3% 28.4% 11.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abbie Probst 9.0% 16.2% 23.1% 20.0% 15.7% 8.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kirsten Failing 1.5% 1.5% 3.1% 4.2% 5.3% 8.2% 12.0% 18.0% 18.7% 16.7% 10.8%
Leigh Collier 5.6% 9.3% 13.3% 19.8% 18.4% 15.9% 10.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 17.3% 26.6% 24.7% 17.4% 7.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Marshall 3.0% 6.0% 8.3% 11.9% 16.7% 18.4% 16.0% 10.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.2%
Jared Gaynes 4.1% 7.1% 9.6% 12.9% 18.8% 17.6% 13.9% 8.9% 5.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Benjamin Tonks 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.6% 6.8% 8.7% 13.6% 18.9% 17.5% 16.2% 9.3%
Taylor Wood 0.9% 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 4.4% 6.7% 12.2% 16.3% 18.3% 19.6% 14.2%
Jackson Shortridge 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 3.7% 6.0% 9.4% 10.3% 17.3% 21.8% 26.5%
Derek Doss 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.6% 2.4% 4.9% 6.1% 9.6% 14.4% 20.9% 38.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.