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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.47+2.89vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.83vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.81+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+9.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.45-1.00vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+3.67vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+5.53vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.19+4.86vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University-1.38+4.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.05+4.21vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27-2.47vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.86-0.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.84-1.85vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-2.10+2.36vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.09-2.73vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-5.25vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-1.32-3.58vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-9.30vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-0.99-6.99vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.84-4.33vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.98-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89San Diego State University1.4718.6%1st Place
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3.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.6220.2%1st Place
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5.76California Poly Maritime Academy0.819.3%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.1%1st Place
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4.0University of California at Santa Cruz1.4518.0%1st Place
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6.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.358.1%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Santa Barbara-0.512.3%1st Place
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13.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.1%1st Place
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13.86San Diego State University-1.191.1%1st Place
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14.74Santa Clara University-1.381.1%1st Place
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15.21University of California at San Diego-2.051.0%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Santa Cruz-0.272.9%1st Place
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12.15San Diego State University-0.862.0%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Berkeley-0.841.9%1st Place
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17.36California State University Monterey Bay-2.100.3%1st Place
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13.27Arizona State University-1.091.5%1st Place
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11.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.802.1%1st Place
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14.42California State University Monterey Bay-1.321.1%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.293.1%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Berkeley-0.991.5%1st Place
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16.67University of California at Davis-1.840.9%1st Place
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16.99University of California at Davis-1.980.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 18.6% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 20.2% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Perez | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Buster Baylis | 18.0% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Maria Gunness | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Philip Yang | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 24.6% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| Stephanie Ng | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.