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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+8.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.92+2.72vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.56vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.33+2.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+1.87vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy4.09+1.03vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.70+1.07vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.57vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.29+4.76vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.74-1.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-0.86vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.03vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.30-4.09vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-7.46vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.09+0.82vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.74-4.76vs Predicted
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19Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-4.00vs Predicted
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20Queen's University1.06-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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4.72Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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5.56Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.77Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.57SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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14.76Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.21University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.97University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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8.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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17.82University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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15.0Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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17.97Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 16.6% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Harry Scott | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Britton Steele | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 25.2% | 39.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Laura Stamets | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 6.8% |
| William Schwenger | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 24.3% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.