← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.33+2.82vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.51vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.14+4.13vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.04+3.39vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University1.70+3.29vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin2.12+1.06vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.73-1.65vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University1.00+2.24vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.09-4.54vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University1.71-1.65vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.17vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University1.30-2.40vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.82Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
-
6.51U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.13Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.39Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
-
8.29Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
-
7.06University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
-
5.35University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
10.24Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
-
4.46College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
-
8.35Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
-
5.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.6Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
-
6.97University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 20.5% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Macey McCann | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% |
| Kate Klement | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 33.2% |
| Paris Henken | 15.5% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Shaynah True | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 23.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.