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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+3.43vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+3.36vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+0.87vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.30+5.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.22+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.120.00vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.04-0.64vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.00+1.24vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-2.93vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71-2.82vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.70-3.42vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
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5.36University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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3.87Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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9.54Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
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7.36Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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10.24Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.07Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.18Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.58Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 16.3% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 20.3% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Shaynah True | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 22.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Kate Klement | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Macey McCann | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 34.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.