← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.22+5.78vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.09+2.44vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.33+0.83vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.71+4.41vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.95vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.73-0.74vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.04+0.28vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.70+0.31vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin2.12-1.81vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.14-2.93vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University1.00-0.90vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.29vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University1.30-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.78University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
-
4.44College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
3.83Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
-
8.41Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
5.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.26University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.28Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
-
8.31Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
-
7.19University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
-
7.07Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
10.1Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
-
6.71U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
9.69Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Kearney | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Paris Henken | 14.6% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 20.0% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Macey McCann | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% |
| Kate Klement | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 29.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Shaynah True | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.